Atletico Tucuman 0-3 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 5 Feb 2025

📅05/02/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.09
6+ Goals
9%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.8
X/1
23%
4.16
X/2
11%
8.24
X/X
15%
3.73
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
11%
7.41
2/X
6%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.0pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.41/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.15
-7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 66%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
23.6 Crosses 11.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
310 Passes 107
74% Pass Accuracy 50%
18.10.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 2-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
19.02.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
0-3
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.00 xG 1.53
72% Ball Possession 28%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 5
374 Passes 93
80% Pass Accuracy 52%
33 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Riestra ran out comfortable winners over Atletico Tucuman 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Tucuman at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 72% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 28%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.00 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Riestra led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 1.50 for Deportivo Riestra.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs Deportivo Riestra?

Atletico Tucuman 0-3 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 46%, draw 27%, Deportivo Riestra 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Tucuman), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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