Real Du Cap 0-2 Cruz Azul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 5 Feb 2025

Real Du Cap
0-2 HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
📅05/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
CONCACAF Champions League – 2025

Real Du Cap vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
12.23
Draw
21%
7.78
Away Pick
57%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
3.46
Over
54%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.75
No
56%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
23%
7.76
2-3
40%
2.28
4-5
29%
2.28
6+
8%
3.82
Value flag · 0-1 at 7.76 — our 23% vs market 8.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Cruz Azul win — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
22%
Home Win
5%
+16.7pp
21%
Draw
9%
+11.4pp
57%
Away Win
85%
-28.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
25%
+20.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
75%
-20.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
32%
+12.1pp
56%
BTTS No
68%
-12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Du Cap v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Du Cap The Market 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruz Azul The Market 91%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +65%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.5
– Crosses 27.7
– Yellow Cards 0.4

Real Du Cap 0-2 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Du Cap
0-2
AWAY Cruz Azul
0.22 xG 1.97
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
262 Passes 457
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
3 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Du Cap vs Cruz Azul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul got the better of Real Du Cap 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Du Cap had 39% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 61%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.22 to 1.97.

What was the final score of Real Du Cap vs Cruz Azul?

Real Du Cap 0-2 Cruz Azul in the CONCACAF Champions League on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Du Cap vs Cruz Azul?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Real Du Cap 22%, draw 21%, Cruz Azul 57%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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