Go Ahead Eagles 3-1 Noordwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 5 Feb 2025

Go Ahead Eagles
3-1 HT 1-0
Noordwijk
📅05/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Netherlands - KNVB Cup – 2024/2025

Go Ahead Eagles vs Noordwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
4.67
Over 2.5
62%
1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
11.7
2-3 Goals
35%
2.78
4-5 Goals
27%
2.21
6+ Goals
17%
2.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.15
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
34.5
X/1
13%
4.22
X/2
9%
34.5
X/X
7%
17.6
2/1
7%
19.55
2/2
6%
34.5
2/X
6%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-19.8pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.5pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+12.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
18%
+19.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
82%
-19.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Go Ahead Eagles v Noordwijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 9%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
5.39/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/4.00
+84% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +104% / -24%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
509 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
49.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
24.0 Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Go Ahead Eagles 3-1 Noordwijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
3-1
AWAY Noordwijk
1.80 xG 0.80
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
611 Passes 167
88% Pass Accuracy 66%
35 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs Noordwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles saw off Noordwijk 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Go Ahead Eagles as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 72% of the ball to Noordwijk's 28%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.80 to 0.80.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs Noordwijk?

Go Ahead Eagles 3-1 Noordwijk in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs Noordwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 63%, draw 18%, Noordwijk 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✓ Over 2.5
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