Al Tadhamon 1-3 Al Nasar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 5 Feb 2026

📅05/02/2026 · 🕒19:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
50%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.85
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 31% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.4pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.3pp
50%
Away Win
41%
+8.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Tadhamon EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.27/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.05
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
224 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Tadhamon
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Nasar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2026 Al Tadhamon Al Tadhamon 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUVPK
28.09.2025 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Tadhamon Al Tadhamon KUV
08.02.2025 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Tadhamon Al Tadhamon KUV
20.09.2024 Al Tadhamon Al Tadhamon 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
25.04.2023 Al Tadhamon Al Tadhamon 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
31.03.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Tadhamon Al Tadhamon KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Tadhamon
1-3
AWAY Al Nasar
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Tadhamon vs Al Nasar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasar beat Al Tadhamon 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nasar as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Tadhamon had 51% of the ball to Al Nasar's 49%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Tadhamon had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Tadhamon and 1.33 for Al Nasar.

What was the final score of Al Tadhamon vs Al Nasar?

Al Tadhamon 1-3 Al Nasar in the Kuwait - Premier League on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Tadhamon vs Al Nasar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nasar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Tadhamon 29%, draw 21%, Al Nasar 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasar), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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