Cove Rangers 0-1 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 5 Mar 2024

Cove Rangers
0-1 HT 0-0
Falkirk
📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Cove Rangers vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
52%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.56
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
2.88
6+ Goals
13%
8.26
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.88 — our 32% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.3pp
52%
Away Win
63%
-11.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.0pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cove Rangers v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 67%
+67% / +67% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/0.84
+11% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Cove Rangers vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cove Rangers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Falkirk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
The Meetings
09.01.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 4-0 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
12.08.2023 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-2 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
09.04.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 0-2 HT 0-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
19.02.2022 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
11.12.2021 Falkirk Falkirk 0-3 HT 0-2 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
31.07.2021 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
POST-MATCH Cove Rangers vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk nicked a narrow win over Cove Rangers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cove Rangers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cove Rangers and 1.17 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Cove Rangers vs Falkirk?

Cove Rangers 0-1 Falkirk in the Scotland - 1st Division on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cove Rangers vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cove Rangers 22%, draw 26%, Falkirk 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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