Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.5pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.33/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.97
+10% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
14.05.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Madryn 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 26% — and on the day Gimnasia Mendoza made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnasia Mendoza had 47% of the ball to Deportivo Madryn's 53%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Madryn?

Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 40%, draw 33%, Deportivo Madryn 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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