NWS Spirit 1-1 Sydney United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 Mar 2024

NWS Spirit
1-1 HT 0-1
Sydney United
📅05/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

NWS Spirit vs Sydney United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
13%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
35%
-6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.2pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NWS Spirit v Sydney United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney United EU Bookmakers 39%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.61/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.01
+25% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.0 Crosses 16.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

NWS Spirit vs Sydney United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sydney United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.76 xG 2.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
295 Passes 382
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.08.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 3-2 HT 0-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
23.04.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 2-2 HT 0-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs Sydney United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit and Sydney United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was NWS Spirit at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, NWS Spirit had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for NWS Spirit and 2.00 for Sydney United.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs Sydney United?

NWS Spirit 1-1 Sydney United in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs Sydney United?

Before kick-off our model rated a NWS Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 44%, draw 27%, Sydney United 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NWS Spirit), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NWS Spirit) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →