LDU Quito vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
LDU Quito v Macara — Team-Based Signals
LDU Quito vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-5
HT 0-2
LDU Quito
EKV1
3-2
HT 2-1
Macara
EKV1
2-1
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
2-1
HT 1-0
Macara
EKV1
3-4
HT 2-3
LDU Quito
EKV1
1-0
HT 1-0
Macara
EKV1
LDU Quito 2-1 Macara — Actual Match Statistics
LDU Quito squeezed past Macara 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, LDU Quito had 61% of the ball to Macara's 39%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.21 to 2.14 — on chances, Macara could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for LDU Quito and 1.33 for Macara.
What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Macara?
LDU Quito 2-1 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Macara?
Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 56%, draw 24%, Macara 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.