05/03/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Gandzasar vs Mika Yerevan Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No Pick
63%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
50%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
59%
Home Win
66%
15%
Draw
22%
26%
Away Win
12%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gandzasar v Mika Yerevan — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gandzasar
The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mika Yerevan
The Market 15%
+28% /
+28%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+74% /
+74%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/0.00
+83%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-61%
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
3
390 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
232 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Gandzasar vs Mika Yerevan Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Gandzasar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Mika Yerevan
7.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Gandzasar vs Mika Yerevan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gandzasar squeezed past Mika Yerevan 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gandzasar as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
What was the final score of Gandzasar vs Mika Yerevan?
Gandzasar 1-0 Mika Yerevan in the Armenia - 1st Division on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gandzasar vs Mika Yerevan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gandzasar win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Gandzasar 59%, draw 15%, Mika Yerevan 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gandzasar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Gandzasar)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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