Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 Golden Arrows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.15
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.35 — our 37% vs market 36.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-14.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.4pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.37/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.27
-28% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
19.7 Crosses 15.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Golden Arrows
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.26 xG 1.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 Passes 326
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 2-1 HT 1-1 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
19.02.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 2-3 HT 1-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
31.12.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-2 HT 0-2 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
27.04.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 2-1 HT 0-1 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
19.03.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 0-1 HT 0-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
02.06.2021 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 3-2 HT 1-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
1-0
AWAY Golden Arrows
0.15 xG 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 Passes 369
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
8 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Kaizer Chiefs vs Golden Arrows
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Kaizer Chiefs edged past Golden Arrows 1-0 in the South Afrika - Premier League on 5 Mar 2024.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 38%.

On the day, Kaizer Chiefs had 47% of the ball to Golden Arrows's 53%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.15 to 0.50.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Golden Arrows lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kaizer Chiefs and 1.67 for Golden Arrows.

What was the final score of Kaizer Chiefs vs Golden Arrows?

Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 Golden Arrows in the South Afrika - Premier League on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaizer Chiefs vs Golden Arrows?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaizer Chiefs win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kaizer Chiefs 42%, draw 29%, Golden Arrows 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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