Esteghlal Mollasani 1-1 Saipa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 5 Mar 2024

Esteghlal Mollasani
1-1 HT 0-0
Saipa
📅05/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2025/2026

Esteghlal Mollasani vs Saipa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.17
Draw
36%
2.58
Away
25%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.22
Over 2.5
29%
4.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.75
No
63%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
1.61
2-3 Goals
31%
2.05
4-5 Goals
14%
10.5
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
27%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
29%
+10.0pp
36%
Draw
36%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
34%
-9.9pp
71%
Under 2.5
78%
-7.5pp
29%
Over 2.5
22%
+7.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
32%
+5.1pp
63%
BTTS No
68%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Esteghlal Mollasani v Saipa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Mollasani EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Saipa EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.80/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.71
-13% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 136 · 55%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Esteghlal Mollasani vs Saipa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Mollasani
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Saipa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Saipa Saipa 2-0 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Mollasani Esteghlal Mollasani IRANAZ
31.12.2022 Esteghlal Mollasani Esteghlal Mollasani 0-0 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
05.05.2022 Saipa Saipa 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Mollasani Esteghlal Mollasani IRANAZ
25.12.2021 Esteghlal Mollasani Esteghlal Mollasani 2-1 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Mollasani vs Saipa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Mollasani and Saipa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 36% / 24% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Esteghlal Mollasani and 0.75 for Saipa.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Mollasani vs Saipa?

Esteghlal Mollasani 1-1 Saipa in the Iran - Azadegan League on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Mollasani vs Saipa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Mollasani win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Mollasani 39%, draw 36%, Saipa 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Esteghlal Mollasani), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Mollasani) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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