Glenavon FC 0-0 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
44%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
20%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.41 — our 29% vs market 17.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
6.94
1/2
6%
20.9
1/X
8%
15.3
X/1
7%
9.69
X/2
20%
4.06
X/X
11%
5.96
2/1
13%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.1
2/X
10%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.4pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.8pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 60%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.29/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.99
+14% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
241 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Glentoran FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 3-1 HT 3-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
05.08.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
10.05.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 5-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
11.03.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
28.02.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
08.11.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Glenavon FC
0-0
AWAY Glentoran FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC and Glentoran FC played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Glentoran FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Glenavon FC had 52% of the ball to Glentoran FC's 48%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.67 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Glentoran FC?

Glenavon FC 0-0 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 27%, draw 29%, Glentoran FC 44%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Glentoran FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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