Zhetysu 0-2 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
52%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+11.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
52%
Away Win
67%
-14.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.9pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana EU Bookmakers 71%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
0.56/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.75
-33% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +36%
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhetysu
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Astana
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 2-1 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
09.03.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
07.08.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 2-2 HT 1-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZKK
02.10.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-3 HT 1-2 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
14.05.2021 FC Astana FC Astana 1-0 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
27.11.2020 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhetysu vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana saw off Zhetysu 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Astana as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zhetysu and 2.00 for FC Astana.

What was the final score of Zhetysu vs FC Astana?

Zhetysu 0-2 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhetysu vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Zhetysu 24%, draw 24%, FC Astana 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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