Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 5 Mar 2024

Deportivo Pasto
1-0 HT 1-0
Fortaleza CEIF
📅05/03/2024 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Pasto v Fortaleza CEIF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-16% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.2 Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards –

Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1-0
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
195 Passes 413
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto nicked a narrow win over Fortaleza CEIF 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Deportivo Pasto made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 35% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 65%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 34%, draw 31%, Fortaleza CEIF 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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