Al Masry 2-0 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.27
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.12/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.96
-21% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
18.7 Crosses 13.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Masry
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Smouha
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.03
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
294 Passes 240
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.07.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 0-1 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
07.02.2023 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
16.05.2022 Smouha Smouha 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
01.11.2021 Al Masry Al Masry 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
16.08.2021 Al Masry Al Masry 0-1 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
22.02.2021 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Masry
2-0
AWAY Smouha
0.74 xG 0.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
283 Passes 367
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry got the better of Smouha 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Al Masry found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Masry had 44% of the ball to Smouha's 56%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.74 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smouha led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Masry and 1.00 for Smouha.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs Smouha?

Al Masry 2-0 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 37%, draw 28%, Smouha 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Masry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Masry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR More Egypt - Premier League
5 Mar 2024
17:00 El Geish vs El Daklyeh Analysis →