Arabi 5-2 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 23%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.96/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/2.16
+22% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +149% / -35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Najma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
02.10.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 2-1 HT 1-1 Arabi SUUD1
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi cruised past Al Najma 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al Najma?

Arabi 5-2 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arabi 44%, draw 28%, Al Najma 29%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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