ES Tunis 2-0 Stade Tunisien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.6
Over 2.5
35%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.6
No
64%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
48%
1.77
4-5 Goals
12%
4.75
6+ Goals
6%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 34% vs market 33.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.5pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.3pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
34%
+1.3pp
64%
BTTS No
66%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Tunisien EU Bookmakers 15%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+1% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
238 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Tunis
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Stade Tunisien
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 3-2 HT 3-2 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TNUSK
25.01.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 1-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1A
21.12.2022 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 2-1 HT 1-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1A
01.05.2021 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 0-1 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
23.01.2021 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-1 HT 1-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1
10.11.2019 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Tunis
2-0
AWAY Stade Tunisien
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ES Tunis vs Stade Tunisien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis beat Stade Tunisien 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, ES Tunis had 62% of the ball to Stade Tunisien's 38%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for ES Tunis and 0.83 for Stade Tunisien.

What was the final score of ES Tunis vs Stade Tunisien?

ES Tunis 2-0 Stade Tunisien in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs Stade Tunisien?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 53%, draw 30%, Stade Tunisien 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →