West Ham United (K) 1-1 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 5 Mar 2025

West Ham United (K)
1-1 HT 0-0
Manchester City (K)
📅05/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2024/2025

West Ham United (K) vs Manchester City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.18
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
54%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
23%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
11%
+10.5pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.1pp
54%
Away Win
71%
-17.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.6pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

West Ham United (K) v Manchester City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.76/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.60/0.81
-13% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -62%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
205 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 85%
9.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.4
9.6 Crosses 22.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.0

West Ham United (K) vs Manchester City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United (K)
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.17
0.82 xG 2.53
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
273 Passes 478
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) İNKPL
21.04.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 5-0 HT 3-0 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) İNKPL
17.11.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 5-0 HT 4-0 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) İNKPL
04.05.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 3-0 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) İNKFAK
13.01.2019 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
14.10.2018 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 7-1 HT 3-0 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) İNKPL

West Ham United (K) 1-1 Manchester City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United (K)
1-1
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.78 xG 2.35
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 4
184 Passes 470
68% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH West Ham United (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United (K) and Manchester City (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester City (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, West Ham United (K) had 35% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 65%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.78 to 2.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for West Ham United (K) and 4.17 for Manchester City (K).

What was the final score of West Ham United (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

West Ham United (K) 1-1 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split West Ham United (K) 22%, draw 25%, Manchester City (K) 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester City (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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