Santiago Morning 1-0 Recoleta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 5 Mar 2025

Santiago Morning
1-0 HT 1-0
Recoleta
📅05/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Chile - Cup – 2025

Santiago Morning vs Recoleta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.6pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santiago Morning v Recoleta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santiago Morning EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Recoleta EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-79% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Santiago Morning vs Recoleta Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santiago Morning
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Recoleta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
04.06.2023 Recoleta Recoleta 1-1 HT 0-1 Santiago Morning Santiago Morning ŞİLİB
08.09.2022 Santiago Morning Santiago Morning 1-2 HT 0-1 Recoleta Recoleta ŞİLİB
20.04.2022 Recoleta Recoleta 1-1 HT 0-0 Santiago Morning Santiago Morning ŞİLİB

Santiago Morning 1-0 Recoleta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santiago Morning
1-0
AWAY Recoleta
1 Total Shots 0
1 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
1 Passes 0
POST-MATCH Santiago Morning vs Recoleta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santiago Morning squeezed past Recoleta 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; Santiago Morning found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 1-0.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Recoleta led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santiago Morning and 1.33 for Recoleta.

What was the final score of Santiago Morning vs Recoleta?

Santiago Morning 1-0 Recoleta in the Chile - Cup on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santiago Morning vs Recoleta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Recoleta win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Santiago Morning 31%, draw 33%, Recoleta 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Recoleta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Recoleta) ✓ Under 2.5
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