Aparecidense 1-0 FC Cascavel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 5 Mar 2025

Aparecidense
1-0 HT 0-0
FC Cascavel
📅05/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Brazil - Cup – 2025

Aparecidense vs FC Cascavel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aparecidense v FC Cascavel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aparecidense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cascavel EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -48%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Aparecidense 1-0 FC Cascavel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aparecidense
1-0
AWAY FC Cascavel
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aparecidense vs FC Cascavel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aparecidense squeezed past FC Cascavel 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Aparecidense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aparecidense had 53% of the ball to FC Cascavel's 47%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Aparecidense vs FC Cascavel?

Aparecidense 1-0 FC Cascavel in the Brazil - Cup on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aparecidense vs FC Cascavel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aparecidense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aparecidense 40%, draw 30%, FC Cascavel 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aparecidense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aparecidense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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