FC Cincinnati 1-1 Tigres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi, 5 Mar 2025

FC Cincinnati
1-1 HT 1-1
Tigres
📅05/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi – 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Tigres Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.2
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 30% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Cincinnati v Tigres — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
– Crosses 17.2
– Yellow Cards 1.7

FC Cincinnati 1-1 Tigres — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
1-1
AWAY Tigres
1.27 xG 0.53
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
401 Passes 463
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 7
6 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Tigres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati and Tigres shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was FC Cincinnati at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 46% of the ball to Tigres's 54%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.27 to 0.53.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Tigres?

FC Cincinnati 1-1 Tigres in the Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Tigres?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 45%, draw 26%, Tigres 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Cincinnati) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ BTTS Yes
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