Danubio U20 1-3 Flamengo U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores U20, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-5.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio U20 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo U20 EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / +23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
Crosses 10.0
Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio U20
1-3
AWAY Flamengo U20
0.31 xG 1.82
19% Ball Possession 81%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
65 Passes 626
41% Pass Accuracy 91%
6 Box Touches 25
4 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Danubio U20 vs Flamengo U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo U20 got the better of Danubio U20 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Flamengo U20 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Danubio U20 had 19% of the ball to Flamengo U20's 81%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.31 to 1.82.

What was the final score of Danubio U20 vs Flamengo U20?

Danubio U20 1-3 Flamengo U20 in the Copa Libertadores U20 on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio U20 vs Flamengo U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Danubio U20 23%, draw 24%, Flamengo U20 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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