Deportes Iquique 1-2 Alianza Lima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.67
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.0pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.26/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.31
+37% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
18.0 Crosses 28.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Iquique
1-2
AWAY Alianza Lima
1.34 xG 2.01
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
413 Passes 220
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportes Iquique vs Alianza Lima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima nicked a narrow win over Deportes Iquique 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Deportes Iquique at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportes Iquique had 62% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 38%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.34 to 2.01.

What was the final score of Deportes Iquique vs Alianza Lima?

Deportes Iquique 1-2 Alianza Lima in the Copa Libertadores on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Iquique vs Alianza Lima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Iquique win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportes Iquique 43%, draw 30%, Alianza Lima 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Iquique) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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