05/03/2025
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-2
2nd Score
0-1
Carda vs Nafta Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
37%
4-5
26%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
28%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Nafta win — 67% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
16%
Home Win
15%
17%
Draw
19%
67%
Away Win
66%
43%
Under 2.5
42%
57%
Over 2.5
58%
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
53%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carda v Nafta — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Carda
The Market 18%
Head to Head
AWAY
Nafta
The Market 71%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+10% /
+10%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+38%
/
–
40%
Ball Possession
60%
8
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
7
5
Corners
6
252 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
414 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
Carda 1-2 Nafta — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Carda
1-2
AWAY
Nafta
39%
Ball Possession
61%
7
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
5
2
Corners
8
4
Yellow Cards
3
POST-MATCH
Carda vs Nafta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Nafta edged past Carda 2-1 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nafta as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Carda had 39% of the ball to Nafta's 61%, shots finished 7-15.
What was the final score of Carda vs Nafta?
Carda 1-2 Nafta in the Slovenia - Cup on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carda vs Nafta?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Carda 16%, draw 17%, Nafta 67%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nafta), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Nafta)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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