Throttur Reykjavik 3-0 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
47%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over Pick
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
40%
4-5
27%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
42%
-9.3pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.6pp
47%
Away Win
33%
+13.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.5pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Throttur Reykjavik The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir The Market 37%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.28/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/2.38
+26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Throttur Reykjavik
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Fylkir
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
29.07.2025 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL1
23.05.2025 Fylkir Fylkir 1-2 HT 0-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
29.02.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 3-0 HT 2-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZLK
03.03.2023 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-2 HT 1-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZLK
26.02.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 4-3 HT 1-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZLK
30.05.2019 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-3 HT 0-3 Fylkir Fylkir İZK
POST-MATCH Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Throttur Reykjavik swept aside Fylkir 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fylkir at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fylkir led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Throttur Reykjavik and 2.33 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir?

Throttur Reykjavik 3-0 Fylkir in the Iceland - League Cup on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fylkir win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Throttur Reykjavik 33%, draw 20%, Fylkir 47%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fylkir), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fylkir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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