FC Bari 1908 1-2 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 5 Apr 2024

FC Bari 1908
1-2 HT 0-1
Cremonese
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

FC Bari 1908 vs Cremonese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.85
No
62%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.72
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 39% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.66
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
12%
6.18
X/2
13%
4.87
X/X
12%
4.01
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.33
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+1.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
50%
-11.7pp
62%
BTTS No
50%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Bari 1908 v Cremonese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
1.34/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.90
+5% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
19.8 Crosses 20.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

FC Bari 1908 vs Cremonese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Cremonese
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.57 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
221 Passes 413
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
16.02.2018 Cremonese Cremonese 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
19.09.2017 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
12.08.2017 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 2-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTK
01.04.2006 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
05.11.2005 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB

FC Bari 1908 1-2 Cremonese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
1-2
AWAY Cremonese
1.11 xG 1.72
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
228 Passes 463
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese nicked a narrow win over FC Bari 1908 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Cremonese found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 38% of the ball to Cremonese's 62%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.11 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 0.33 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Cremonese?

FC Bari 1908 1-2 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 32%, draw 27%, Cremonese 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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