Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Werder Bremen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 5 Apr 2024

Eintracht Frankfurt
1-1 HT 0-0
Werder Bremen
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
13%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
12%
4.25
X/2
11%
8.66
X/X
10%
5.32
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.3
2/2
11%
6.24
2/X
9%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eintracht Frankfurt v Werder Bremen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.86/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.56
-18% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
427 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
25.5 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Werder Bremen
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.81 xG 1.03
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
437 Passes 335
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-2 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
18.02.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
28.08.2022 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-4 HT 2-3 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
26.02.2021 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
31.10.2020 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
03.06.2020 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0-3 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Werder Bremen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
1-1
AWAY Werder Bremen
2.18 xG 1.65
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 0
465 Passes 199
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
43 Box Touches 20
34 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt and Werder Bremen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Eintracht Frankfurt at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 67% of the ball to Werder Bremen's 33%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 2.18 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.33 for Werder Bremen.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen?

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Werder Bremen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 48%, draw 25%, Werder Bremen 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →