Gold Coast Knights 4-2 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.18
Draw
22%
7.78
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
81%
-21.4pp
21%
Draw
10%
+11.1pp
19%
Away Win
9%
+10.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 11%
-16% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.30/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.77
-34% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -7%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
477 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses 11.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Brisbane Roar II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.38 xG 0.65
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
359 Passes 230
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-3 HT 1-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
22.04.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 2-1 HT 2-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
17.08.2022 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-3 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
29.07.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
23.07.2021 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-3 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
11.04.2021 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 2-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights beat Brisbane Roar II 4-2. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 0.83 for Brisbane Roar II.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane Roar II?

Gold Coast Knights 4-2 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 59%, draw 21%, Brisbane Roar II 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✓ Over 2.5
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