Daejeon Korail 1-1 Gimhae City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.2pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.16/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.98
+10% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Korail
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gimhae City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
11.11.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
17.06.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 2-2 HT 1-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
13.08.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 1-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
16.04.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
24.07.2021 Gimhae City Gimhae City 3-3 HT 2-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
03.04.2021 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
POST-MATCH Daejeon Korail vs Gimhae City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Korail and Gimhae City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimhae City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Daejeon Korail and 1.33 for Gimhae City.

What was the final score of Daejeon Korail vs Gimhae City?

Daejeon Korail 1-1 Gimhae City in the South Kore - K3 League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Korail vs Gimhae City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Korail 32%, draw 30%, Gimhae City 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimhae City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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