Auda 3-1 Valmiera / BSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 5 Apr 2024

Auda
3-1 HT 2-0
Valmiera / BSS
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

Auda vs Valmiera / BSS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Auda v Valmiera / BSS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 42%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.74/2.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/0.84
-100% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +121% / +40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.9
11.1 Crosses 27.6
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Auda vs Valmiera / BSS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.87 xG 1.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
360 Passes 297
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-2 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
03.07.2023 Auda Auda 0-0 HT 0-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
12.05.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-1 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
02.04.2023 Auda Auda 0-4 HT 0-2 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
15.10.2022 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 2-1 HT 1-1 Auda Auda LET
14.08.2022 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 0-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LETK

Auda 3-1 Valmiera / BSS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
3-1
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
2.08 xG 0.69
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
323 Passes 279
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Auda vs Valmiera / BSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda got the better of Valmiera / BSS 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Auda made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Auda had 51% of the ball to Valmiera / BSS's 49%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.08 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Auda and 1.33 for Valmiera / BSS.

What was the final score of Auda vs Valmiera / BSS?

Auda 3-1 Valmiera / BSS in the Latvia - Virsliga on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Valmiera / BSS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Auda 39%, draw 27%, Valmiera / BSS 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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