Ujpest 1-5 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.15
6+ Goals
13%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
2.26/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.26
+13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
365 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.4 Crosses 16.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.36
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
342 Passes 334
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
26.08.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 2-1 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
01.04.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 3-2 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
05.11.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
13.08.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 1-1 HT 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
16.04.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 4-0 HT 3-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
1-5
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.07 xG 2.73
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
418 Passes 335
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE swept aside Ujpest 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ujpest at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ujpest had 54% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 46%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.07 to 2.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ujpest and 1.00 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Ujpest 1-5 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 48%, draw 25%, Zalaegerszegi TE 27%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ujpest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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