UCV 2-0 Deportivo Tachira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
31%
-6.5pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+10.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.37/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.79
+29% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +86%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
16.6 Crosses 13.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 1.19
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
184 Passes 374
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 UCV UCV 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
19.03.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-1 HT 1-1 UCV UCV VEN
29.08.2022 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
25.03.2022 UCV UCV 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
1.50 xG 0.18
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 8
161 Passes 364
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 32
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UCV vs Deportivo Tachira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV beat Deportivo Tachira 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Tachira at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, UCV had 35% of the ball to Deportivo Tachira's 65%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.50 to 0.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UCV and 1.00 for Deportivo Tachira.

What was the final score of UCV vs Deportivo Tachira?

UCV 2-0 Deportivo Tachira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Deportivo Tachira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split UCV 33%, draw 25%, Deportivo Tachira 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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