Shenzhen FC 1-3 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.21
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
13%
5.01
X/2
12%
6.64
X/X
12%
4.3
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
13%
4.95
2/X
10%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 32%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.18/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.52
+14% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +115%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
271 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 77%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
25.7 Crosses 20.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Henan Jianye
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 0.89
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
278 Passes 258
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
05.04.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-2 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
28.07.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-1 HT 2-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
30.04.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
29.10.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
24.07.2021 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
1-3
AWAY Henan Jianye
0.53 xG 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
351 Passes 287
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 33
28 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye saw off Shenzhen FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shenzhen FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 55% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 45%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.53 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Henan Jianye led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shenzhen FC and 1.00 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Henan Jianye?

Shenzhen FC 1-3 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shenzhen FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 41%, draw 28%, Henan Jianye 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shenzhen FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shenzhen FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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