Rochdale 2-2 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.0pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
2-2
AWAY Spennymoor Town
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale and Spennymoor Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rochdale at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Rochdale had 67% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 33%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Spennymoor Town?

Rochdale 2-2 Spennymoor Town in the England - FA Cup on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 46%, draw 26%, Spennymoor Town 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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