Kalmar 1-0 GIF Sundsvall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 5 Apr 2025

Kalmar
1-0 HT 1-0
GIF Sundsvall
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Sweden - Superettan – 2025

Kalmar vs GIF Sundsvall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.43
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.56
6+ Goals
8%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.78
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
18.8
X/1
13%
3.73
X/2
9%
14.05
X/X
16%
5.68
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
9%
12.85
2/X
7%
21.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
65%
-17.3pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.3pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kalmar v GIF Sundsvall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.7

Kalmar vs GIF Sundsvall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
2W-0D-4L
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 0.68
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
472 Passes 410
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.11.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 4-0 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ
20.04.2022 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-0 HT 0-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
24.09.2019 Kalmar Kalmar 0-2 HT 0-1 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ
20.04.2019 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-2 HT 1-2 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
08.10.2018 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 2-0 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
21.07.2018 Kalmar Kalmar 0-2 HT 0-1 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs GIF Sundsvall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar edged past GIF Sundsvall 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kalmar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, GIF Sundsvall led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kalmar and 1.33 for GIF Sundsvall.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs GIF Sundsvall?

Kalmar 1-0 GIF Sundsvall in the Sweden - Superettan on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs GIF Sundsvall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 48%, draw 29%, GIF Sundsvall 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalmar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kalmar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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