Breidablik 2-0 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-13.8pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.6pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 74%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Afturelding
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
70% Ball Possession 30%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
21.02.2020 Afturelding Afturelding 1-3 HT 0-3 Breidablik Breidablik İZLK
12.04.2014 Breidablik Breidablik 4-0 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
2-0
AWAY Afturelding
1.83 xG 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
456 Passes 291
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
46 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik beat Afturelding 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Breidablik had 59% of the ball to Afturelding's 41%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.83 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Breidablik and 0.50 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs Afturelding?

Breidablik 2-0 Afturelding in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 57%, draw 23%, Afturelding 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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