Black Leopards FC 1-0 Venda FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
2.05
Draw
18%
3.45
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.55
No OUR CALL
63%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
45%
+10.2pp
18%
Draw
26%
-7.8pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
60%
-23.3pp
63%
BTTS No
40%
+23.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Black Leopards FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Venda FC EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.18/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.04
-4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Black Leopards FC
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Venda FC
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
02.04.2024 Venda FC 4-2 HT 2-0 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC GAF1
11.11.2023 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Venda FC GAF1
14.01.2023 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Venda FC GAF1
08.05.2022 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Venda FC GAF1
POST-MATCH Black Leopards FC vs Venda FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Black Leopards FC edged past Venda FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Black Leopards FC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Venda FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Black Leopards FC and 1.75 for Venda FC.

What was the final score of Black Leopards FC vs Venda FC?

Black Leopards FC 1-0 Venda FC in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Black Leopards FC vs Venda FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Black Leopards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Black Leopards FC 55%, draw 18%, Venda FC 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Black Leopards FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Black Leopards FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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