05/04/2025
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Senegal (K) vs Gana (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2
— our 31% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
27%
Draw
26%
47%
Away Win
46%
50%
Under 2.5
49%
50%
Over 2.5
51%
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
51%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Senegal (K) v Gana (K) — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Senegal (K)
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gana (K)
EU Bookmakers 50%
-22% /
-22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-63%
/
-5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
6
6
Corners
6
355 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
450 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Senegal (K) vs Gana (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gana (K) nicked a narrow win over Senegal (K) 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gana (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Senegal (K) vs Gana (K)?
Senegal (K) 0-1 Gana (K) in the Friendlies on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Senegal (K) vs Gana (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gana (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Senegal (K) 26%, draw 27%, Gana (K) 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gana (K)), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Gana (K))
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
5 Apr 2025