Mathare United vs Posta Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mathare United v Posta Rangers — Team-Based Signals
Mathare United vs Posta Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-0
Posta Rangers
KEN2
Mathare United 3-2 Posta Rangers — Actual Match Statistics
Mathare United squeezed past Posta Rangers 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Mathare United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mathare United had 44% of the ball to Posta Rangers's 56%, shots finished 13-14.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mathare United and 1.50 for Posta Rangers.
What was the final score of Mathare United vs Posta Rangers?
Mathare United 3-2 Posta Rangers in the Kenya - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mathare United vs Posta Rangers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mathare United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 35%, draw 31%, Posta Rangers 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mathare United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.