Al Arabi 1-1 Al Fahaheel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒18:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
57%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.42
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 28% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Al Arabi win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.3pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.2pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fahaheel EU Bookmakers 15%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
2.33/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.93
-8% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +26%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Fahaheel
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.02.2025 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
15.09.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
24.05.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
27.04.2024 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
08.01.2024 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
20.10.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Fahaheel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi and Al Fahaheel couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Al Arabi carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Arabi and 0.67 for Al Fahaheel.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Fahaheel?

Al Arabi 1-1 Al Fahaheel in the Kuwait - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Fahaheel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 57%, draw 25%, Al Fahaheel 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Arabi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ Under 2.5
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