SF Grei 2-1 Orn Horten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.0pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.5pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SF Grei EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Orn Horten EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.02/2.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
+18% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +50%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SF Grei
2-1
AWAY Orn Horten
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH SF Grei vs Orn Horten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SF Grei squeezed past Orn Horten 2-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Orn Horten at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, SF Grei had 50% of the ball to Orn Horten's 50%, shots finished 8-19.

What was the final score of SF Grei vs Orn Horten?

SF Grei 2-1 Orn Horten in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SF Grei vs Orn Horten?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orn Horten win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split SF Grei 21%, draw 23%, Orn Horten 56%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orn Horten) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orn Horten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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