Pirae 1-1 Tiga Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — OFCŞL, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
24%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.4pp
34%
Draw
25%
+9.0pp
24%
Away Win
34%
-10.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pirae EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiga Sport EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
214 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Pirae vs Tiga Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pirae and Tiga Sport shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pirae at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Pirae vs Tiga Sport?

Pirae 1-1 Tiga Sport in the OFCŞL on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pirae vs Tiga Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pirae win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pirae 42%, draw 34%, Tiga Sport 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pirae) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pirae) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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