KS Wieczysta Krakow 2-3 Podbeskidzie Bielsko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.58
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 29% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.9pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+11.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KS Wieczysta Krakow EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko EU Bookmakers 17%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.22/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-37% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +71%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KS Wieczysta Krakow
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.09.2024 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-0 HT 1-0 KS Wieczysta Krakow KS Wieczysta Krakow POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KS Wieczysta Krakow
2-3
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Podbeskidzie Bielsko squeezed past KS Wieczysta Krakow 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had KS Wieczysta Krakow at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KS Wieczysta Krakow had 60% of the ball to Podbeskidzie Bielsko's 40%, shots finished 25-9.

What was the final score of KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko?

KS Wieczysta Krakow 2-3 Podbeskidzie Bielsko in the Poland - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko?

Before kick-off our model rated a KS Wieczysta Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split KS Wieczysta Krakow 55%, draw 20%, Podbeskidzie Bielsko 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KS Wieczysta Krakow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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