Kairouan 1-0 Sfax Railways — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Cup, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairouan EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sfax Railways EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairouan
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sfax Railways
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
1 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Sfax Railways 0-0 Kairouan Kairouan TUN2
POST-MATCH Kairouan vs Sfax Railways
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairouan edged past Sfax Railways 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kairouan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Kairouan vs Sfax Railways?

Kairouan 1-0 Sfax Railways in the Tunisia - Cup on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairouan vs Sfax Railways?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairouan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kairouan 49%, draw 27%, Sfax Railways 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairouan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kairouan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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