Juventud 4-1 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventud EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 27%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.22
-28% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventud
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Boston River
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
06.11.2019 Boston River Boston River 2-1 HT 0-1 Juventud Juventud URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventud
4-1
AWAY Boston River
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventud vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventud cruised past Boston River 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Juventud as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Juventud had 49% of the ball to Boston River's 51%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Juventud vs Boston River?

Juventud 4-1 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventud vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventud win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Juventud 45%, draw 30%, Boston River 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventud) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventud) ✗ Under 2.5
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