Örgryte 1-1 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
21%
3.8
Away Pick
58%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.03
Over
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.65
2-3
37%
1.79
4-5
24%
3.1
6+
10%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.65 — our 29% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.4
1/2
10%
21.8
1/X
5%
16.75
X/1
8%
10.5
X/2
22%
4.07
X/X
9%
5.65
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
26%
1.98
2/X
7%
14.95
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF The Market 62%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
0.67/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.89
-36% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +7%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.6
Crosses 21.1
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
24.08.2009 Örgryte Örgryte 1-0 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
13.04.2009 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ
28.08.2006 Malmö FF Malmö FF 4-2 HT 1-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ
10.04.2006 Örgryte Örgryte 1-2 HT 1-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
20.08.2005 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
29.05.2005 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örgryte
1-1
AWAY Malmö FF
1.33 xG 1.87
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
248 Passes 359
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Örgryte vs Malmö FF
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Örgryte and Malmö FF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

File this under upsets: a 58% lean on Malmö FF went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.71, about 58%.

The match data tells the story: Örgryte had 42% of the ball to Malmö FF's 58%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.33 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Örgryte and 1.83 for Malmö FF.

Örgryte vs Malmö FF Result & Final Score

Örgryte 1-1 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Örgryte vs Malmö FF Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 21%, draw 21%, Malmö FF 58%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Malmö FF), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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