Palermo 2-0 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 5 Apr 2026

Palermo
2 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Avellino
📅05/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Palermo vs Avellino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.74
Away
14%
4.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.87
Over
51%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.94
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.12
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
23%
3.5
6+
6%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
2.0
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.5
X/1
20%
3.95
X/2
6%
10.7
X/X
13%
5.17
2/1
3%
23.5
2/2
7%
9.06
2/X
5%
17.5
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Palermo v Avellino — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Palermo The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino The Market 20%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.17 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.81
0.91 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.77
Average Attack Strength Bad
Strong Defense Strength Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Palermo vs Avellino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Avellino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.78 xG 1.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
290 Passes 331
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.12.2025 Avellino Avellino 2-2 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
13.03.2022 Avellino Avellino 1-2 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTC
31.10.2021 Palermo Palermo 1-1 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
26.05.2021 Avellino Avellino 1-0 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTC
23.05.2021 Palermo Palermo 1-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
07.02.2021 Avellino Avellino 1-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTC

Palermo 2-0 Avellino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
2 - 0
AWAY Avellino
0.68 xG 0.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 0
317 Passes 286
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Palermo vs Avellino
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Palermo had too much for Avellino 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 51% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring.

Under the surface, possession split 51% to 49% in Palermo's favour, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.68 to 0.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Palermo against 1.00 for Avellino.

Palermo vs Avellino Result & Final Score

Palermo 2 - 0 Avellino in the Italy - Serie B on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Palermo vs Avellino Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Palermo 63%, draw 23%, Avellino 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palermo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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