Basake Holy Stars 1-0 Karela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.47
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.6
No
54%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
64%
+4.6pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.2pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
34%
+11.7pp
54%
BTTS No
66%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basake Holy Stars EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Karela EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.11/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.08
-17% / +136% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +23%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 177 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basake Holy Stars
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Karela
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2025 Karela 3-2 HT 1-0 Basake Holy Stars GANA
13.10.2024 Basake Holy Stars 1-0 Karela GANA
POST-MATCH Basake Holy Stars vs Karela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basake Holy Stars squeezed past Karela 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Basake Holy Stars as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Basake Holy Stars and 1.50 for Karela.

What was the final score of Basake Holy Stars vs Karela?

Basake Holy Stars 1-0 Karela in the Gana - Premier League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basake Holy Stars vs Karela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basake Holy Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Basake Holy Stars 69%, draw 19%, Karela 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basake Holy Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basake Holy Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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