Altay 1-1 Bergama Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
16%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
57%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
16%
Away Win
19%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altay EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 22%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.79
+77% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altay
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 6
12.12.2025 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor 0-1 HT 0-0 Altay Altay S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altay
1-1
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Altay vs Bergama Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altay and Bergama Belediyespor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Altay at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Altay had 60% of the ball to Bergama Belediyespor's 40%, shots finished 16-3.

What was the final score of Altay vs Bergama Belediyespor?

Altay 1-1 Bergama Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altay vs Bergama Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altay win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Altay 60%, draw 24%, Bergama Belediyespor 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Altay), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Altay) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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