Fatsa Belediyespor 2-3 Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatsa Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.30/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.38
-24% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
295 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatsa Belediyespor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12.12.2025 Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 0-1 HT 0-0 Fatsa Belediyespor Fatsa Belediyespor S3-3
POST-MATCH Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor squeezed past Fatsa Belediyespor 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fatsa Belediyespor at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor?

Fatsa Belediyespor 2-3 Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatsa Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fatsa Belediyespor 54%, draw 23%, Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 23%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fatsa Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5
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